When: Wednesday, Dec. 31, 2025 — 1:00 p.m. ET
Where: Spectrum Center — Charlotte, North Carolina
Opening Odds & Lines (DraftKings / Consensus)
📍 Spread: Warriors -7.5 (Golden State favored)
📍 Moneyline: Warriors approx. -275 / Hornets +221
📍 Over/Under (Total): 234.5 points
These lines show Golden State as a solid favorite on the road, with the total points line set relatively high in expectation of a reasonably fast-pace and scoring game.
Proven Model Prediction (SportsLine Projection Model)
SportsLine’s proven simulation model — which has generated significant historical betting profits — simulated this game 10,000 times and offers these key projections:
✅ Projected Spread Winner: Golden State Warriors
✅ Over/Under Prediction: Over 234.5 points
✅ Curry Scoring Projection: ~27.1 PPG from Stephen Curry
✅ LaMelo Ball Projection: ~21 PPG for Charlotte
The model tends to lean over the total, suggesting both offenses could outperform the listed point total.
It also indicates that one side of the spread is “better value,” although full picks require access to the model’s premium output.
Additional Predictions & Betting Angles from Other Models
Consensus from Other Sources
- FanDuel Research / numberFire:
- Warriors win probability: ~66.7%
- Spread: Warriors -7 • Total: 233.5 • Moneyline: Warriors -255, Hornets +210
- Predicted score approx GSW 122 – CHA 110
- Spread preference: Warriors -7.5 • Total pick split on over/under
- Suggests Hornets (+7) to cover the spread
- Also notes the under (233.5) might be playable given recent scoring trends
Taken together, models show some divergence:
the SportsLine model and many official odds boards favor the Warriors outright and the over, while some ATS (against the spread) analysts point to the Hornets covering given Warriors road inconsistencies.
